A relatively uneventful day following tense headlines for Russia and Ukraine and mortgage bond strength is now giving way to a weakening mortgage bond market. Too soon to tell, but keep an eye on rising rates. Mortgage rates are down from yesterday's strong bond market.
Yesterday: Mortgage bonds were strong following an overnight rally caused by geopolitical tension in Russia and Ukraine, and bolstered by weak housing data. A comparatively strong Philly Fed report was not enough to push bonds down. Look out for lower mortgage rates.
June Housing Starts dropped to an annual rate of 893 thousand, a 9.3 percent dip from May and well below the expected 1.02 million. This is the slowest crawl in 9 months, headed by a drop in single family homes and apartments. Future construction is looking slow as well, since building permits dropped to an annual rate of 963K, a 4.2 percent dip.
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